摘要
中国电力需求的持续增长,给资源和环境带来了巨大的压力,而经济增长及其增长方式是电力需求发生变化的原因.中国从1995年以来GDP和全社会用电量时序统计结果具有明显的非线性变化特征,因而基于非线性回归模型的GDP、电力需求、资源和环境分析,可以为解决中国电力可持续发展问题提供一个理论依据.
The power demand continues to grow,Bring enormous pressure to on resources and the environment,The economic growth and it growth mode are causes of changes in power demand.Since 1995,The statistical results of timing on GDP and electricity consumption of the whole society of China has obvious nonlinear characteristics,So that analysis on the power demand,resources and the environment based on nonlinear regression model,which can provide a theoretical basis for solving the problem of sustainable development of China＇s electric power.
作者
段树乔
潘艳
徐德生
张正华
DUAN Shu-qiao PAN Yan XU De-sheng ZHANG Zheng-hua(Research Center of Soft Science＆, System Engineering of Yunnan University, Kunming Power Supply Bureau Kunming 650011, China Electric Power Research Institute of the State Grid Corporation, Beijing 102200, China Kunming Power Supply Bureau, Kunming 650011, China Research Center of Soft Science＆, System Engineering of Yunnan University, Kunming 650011, China)
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
北大核心
2016年第19期1-8,共8页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
关键词
非线性回归模型
电力需求
资源与环境
nonlinear regression model
power demand
resources and environment
