我国能源生产总量影响因素实证研究

An Empirical Study of Affecting Factors of Total Energy Production

我国正处于发展转轨时期,能源生产备受关注。以我国能源生产总量为视角,利用SPSS统计分析软件,经过强制进入策略模型和向后筛选策略模型对影响我国能源生产总量的因素进行分析。结果表明:只有能源消费总量、生产弹性系数对生产总量有显著影响。表明应加强对能源消费的引导,优化结构,合理配置;结合经济发展现状,科学合理适当地提高能源生产弹性系数,保持能源供应稳定性。

China has been in development transition situation, energy production is a key attention point. By using SPSS, we analyze several factors that significantly affected total energy production, the results are： only energy consumption and elastic coefficient of production has significant effect. Putting more attention to guiding energy consumption and optimum structure, increasing elastic coefficient of production properly are needed to maintain energy supply stable.