围观就是力量吗?——影响政治参与有力感的因素分析

“Is gathering and looking on online power?”: Analysis of factors influencing the sense of power through political participation

互联网风起云涌,流行口号"围观就是力量"经得起学术研究的检验吗?社会人口特征变量对政治参与感有什么样的影响?利用CGSS2010的数据进行分析,显示网络变量对政治参与有力感的影响在没有其他控制变量的情况下是显著的。逐步加入其他变量后,模型显示社会人口特征,如性别、教育程度、是否党员、是否体制内单位、是否有一定的行政级别等,是政治参与有力感更为重要的解释变量。一些问题,如变量之间的因果机制、社会信任的城乡差距、政治参与感的动态变化等,还有待进一步分析。

With the internet rising and raging, such slogans as ＂Gathering and looking on is power＂ have become popular. But can the slogans be tested by scholarly research？ How will socio-demographic variables influence the sense of political participation？ Based on the data analysis of CGSS2010, the present essay reveals that internet variables are significantly related to the sense of power through political participation when other control variables are absent. But after other variables are added gradually, the models show that such socio-demographic characteristics as gender, educational level, party membership, work unit, rank of administrative office and so on, are the more significant and important explanatory variables than sense of political participation. Some problems, including the causal mechanism among variables, the ＂trust＂ difference between urban and rural areas, and dynamic change of political participation, remain to be analyzed further.