皖江城市带经济增长与产业结构演进效应分析——基于SSM方法

Analysis of Wanjiang City Belt of Economic Growth and Industrial Structure Evolution Effect—— Based on SSM

区域经济的增长与产业结构演进的关系密不可分.基于2003~2012年间皖江城市带标准统计数据,借助SSM方法分析皖江城市带三次产业的结构效益.研究发现,皖江城市带产业经济总量增长快,区位竞争优势明显,但增速回落,增长极的扩散效应不显著,产业结构层次不高;第一产业发展整体处劣势,第二产业竞争力趋强,第三产业发展前景广阔.皖江城市带要进一步加强合肥与芜湖经济增长极的建设,促进区域产业承接与产业融合;发挥区位优势,加快融入长三角经济圈;重点加大区域内产业结构优化,强化区域产业协同发展.

Through the analysis Wanjiang City Belt standard statistical data from 2003 to 2012, is was found that economic aggregate growth of Waniiang City Belt industry is rapid,regional competitive advantage is obvious, but the growth rate is decreasing, the the diffusion effect of growth pole is not significant and structural quality of the industry is not high,the first industrial development as a whole is at a disadvantage, the second industry has stronger competitiveness, the development of the third industry prospers, based on the SSM-shift-share analysis of Wanjiang City Belt three industry structure benefit index,index and relative growth of regional competitiveness and growth ratio of three industry.Wanjiang City Belt should further strengthen the Hefei and Wuhu economy growth pole construction,promote regional industrial undertaking and industry integration; play to regional advantages, speed up the integration of the Yangtze River Delta economic circle ; focus on increasing regional industrial structure optimization and strengthen coordinated development of regional industry.