合肥市绿色增长对财政收入的影响研究——以环境库兹涅茨曲线拐点为视角

A Study of Green Growth Effect on Revenue of Hefei City Based on EKC

环境库兹涅茨曲线拐点说明环境与经济增长之间存在一个进入良性循环的临界点。如果用资源消耗反映绿色增长的水平,就可借助研究绿色增长对财政收入的影响来揭示一个或多个区域跨越该拐点的能力和先后顺序。通过回顾合肥市绿色增长的基本条件和能力,运用全国、安徽省、合肥市三级和皖、桂两地的比较数据,构建模型检验各级和各区域绿色增长对财政收入的影响。结果表明两者之间一定程度正相关,并且合肥市具备优先跨过环境库兹涅茨曲线拐点的条件。

Environment Kuznets Curve（EKC） shows that there is a turning point between environment and economic growth, which brings a virtuous circle. The capability and sequence of one or more regions crossing inflection point will be revealed through studying green growth effect on revenue if the level of green growth is measured by resource consumption. Green growth effects on revenue are checked by reviewing the basic conditions and capabilities of green growth in Hefei city with comparative data from the three levels：nationwide, Anhui province and Hefei city, and two areas： Anhui province and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. Then the model is built. The results show certain degree of positive correlation between green growth and revenue, and Hefei has priority possibility of passing through EKC turning point.