摘要
准确评价水利工程施工阶段各个项目施工进度风险并提前做好风险预案,对顺利完成各个施工项目有重要作用。对此,本文分别采用层次分析法(AHP)和信息熵理论计算权重系数,给出了影响水利工程施工进度风险的AHP-熵权组合方法,据此得出风险因素的组合权重,并进行模糊综合评价。以南水北调中线工程渚河北支排水倒虹吸工程为例,获得了该工程的主要风险因素,提出了相应的防治措施,为工程风险防范和进度控制提了依据。
It is of great significance for the successful completion of projects to accurately carry out project construction schedule risk analysis and make risk plans in advance.In this paper,analytic hierarchy process（AHP）and information entropy theory were adopted to calculate the weight coefficients,and combination of AHP and entropy weight method was proposed to analyze water conservancy construction schedule risks.Then combined weight of risk factors was obtained and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation was performed.Taking the drainage inverted siphon project of Zhuhe River north tributary in Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project as research subject,the major risk factors were obtained and the corresponding control measures were put forward,which provides a basis for engineering risk prevention and schedule control.
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
2016年第10期137-140,共4页
Water Resources and Power
关键词
层次分析法
熵值法
施工进度风险
模糊综合评价
渚河北支排水倒虹吸
Analytic hierarchy process
entropy value method
construction schedule risk
fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
drainage inverted siphon project of north tributary in Zhuhe River
