多元回归分析在镇龙站洪水预报中的应用

Application of multivariate regression analysis in flood forecasting of Zhenlong Hydrological Station

利用镇龙水文站已有的历史洪水数据,应用多元回归分析方法,研究出一套适用于镇龙水文站日常作业预报的预报公式,按《水文情报预报规范》SL250-2000技术要求评定,均达到甲级方案标准,其成果可作为镇龙水文站今后洪水预报方案,其方法可供同类型河流洪水预报参考。

For Zhenlong Hydrological Station, the author studied the forecasting formulas suitable for daily prediction based on its historical flood data and with the multivariate regression analysis method, which all conform to the specifications for Grade A scheme in accordance with the Standard for hydrological information and hydrological forecasting （Standard No.： SL250-2000）. The achievements of study can be used as the flood forecasting scheme of Zhenlong Hydrological Station and be reference for other similar rivers.