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山东省“新五化”协调发展时空演变 被引量:27

Spatial-Temporal Evolution of Coordinated Development of New Pattern of Industrialization,Urbanization,IT Application,Agricultural Modernization and Greenization in Shandong Province
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摘要 新型工业化、城镇化、信息化、农业现代化及绿色化(以下简称"新五化")提出以来受到社会各界的广泛关注与重视,是实现区域可持续发展的基本路径之一。在解析"新五化"的理论内涵与协调发展机理的基础上,采用数理模型、定量分析和地理学空间分析的方法,结合"新五化"协调发展模型,研究2000—2013年山东省"新五化"协调发展时空演变特征。得出以下结论:1山东省"新五化"综合发展水平上升速度较快,新型工业化、城镇化和信息化增长较快,农业现代化和绿色化发展水平较低;2山东省"新五化"各子系统之间的耦合度介于0.703~0.980之间,属于中高度耦合水平,山东省"新五化"协调发展测度介于0.301~0.823之间,协调发展等级不高;3从"新五化"协调发展空间格局来看,济南、淄博、青岛、威海等鲁中、鲁东地区"新五化"耦合度和协调度较高,菏泽、聊城、滨州、德州、临沂、日照等鲁西、鲁北、鲁南地区"新五化"的耦合度和协调度较低。研究从促进五化同步发展、加强五化之间的相互促进作用、制定区域化的五化发展战略方面提出对策建议。 The idea of a new type of industrialization, urbanization, IT application, agricultural modernization and greenization(hereinafter referred to as the"New Five Modernizations") has received extensive attention of the society from all walks of life and it is one of the basic paths to achieve regional sustainable development. Taking the new type of industrialization, urbanization, IT application, agricultural modernization and greenization as the measuring indicator, this paper analyzes the spatial- temporal evolution of the coordinated development the"New Five Modernizations"in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2013 by using the mathematical model, quantitative analysis and spatial analysis method. The results show as follows: 1)The comprehensive development level of the"New Five Modernizations"rises fast. Industrialization, urbanization and IT application development grow rapidly while agricultural modernization and greenization develop slowly. 2)The coupling degree between the"New Five Modernizations"is from 0.703 to 0.986,which is a middle high level. The coordinated development level of the"New Five Modernizations"is from 0.301 to0.823, which is not in a high degree. 3)From the perspective of the spatial pattern, the coupling degree and coordination degree of the"New Five Modernizations"are higher in middle and east areas in Shandong Province like Jinan, Zibo,Qingdao and Weihai, and the coupling degree and coordination degree are lower in west, north and south areas like Heze,Liaocheng, Linyi, Rizhao. According to the above study, it puts forward suggestions to promote the simultaneous development of the"New Five Modernizations", strengthen the interaction between the five modernizations and develop regional strategies for its development.
作者 侯纯光 程钰 任建兰 HOU Chun - guartg CHENG - Yu REN Jian - lan(School of Geography and Environment , Shandong Normal University , Jinan 2 50014 , Shandong , China)
出处 《经济地理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第10期60-68,共9页 Economic Geography
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(41501124 41571525) 山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2015DQ008) 山东省高等学校科技计划(J15LH07)
关键词 “新五化” 耦合度 协调度 时空演变 山东省 "New Five Modernizations" coupling degree coordination degree spatial-temporal evolution Shandong Province
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