中蒙对外贸易特点及两国贸易关系分析

The analysis of foreign trade characteristics and bilateral trade relations between China and Mongolia

以2005—2014年的中蒙两国产业发展数据和部分2013年、2014年两国进出口贸易产业结构数据为基础,对中蒙两国各产业发展情况和进出口贸易特点进行了分析,通过贸易强度指数ITij来量化分析中蒙两国贸易紧密程度,用显示性比较优势指数ARC确定了中蒙各产业在世界市场中的优势地位.基于以上实证分析对中蒙两国贸易关系现状进行了归纳,结果表明,蒙古国对中国的贸易依赖度更大;两国的显示性优势产品都是两国相互比较需求的产品类型,产业互补性较强;目前中蒙贸易中占比较高的产品均为显示性优势产品,产品种类相对单一,但中蒙两国在其他种类产品和技术上的贸易潜力巨大.最后,提出了进一步加强两国贸易合作关系的建议.

Based on the industrial development data of China and Mongolia in 2005—2014 and the import export trade industrial structure between 2013 and 2014,the development of various industries and import and export trade features of Sino-Mongolian trade are analyzed.The trade intensity index I Tij is used to quantitatively analyze the tightness of Sino-Mongolian trade, and the revealed comparative advantage index A RC is used to determine the dominant position of the industries in the world market.Based on the above empirical analysis,this paper sums up the current situation of Sino-Mongolian trade relations.The conclusions are as follows：Mongolian trade dependence on China is greater;the dominant products of the two countries are the types of products which the two countries mutual need,and the complementary of industries are stronger.Products accounted for a relatively high proportion in Sino-Mongolian trade are the revealed comparative advantage products and relatively single.However,the potential trade in other types of products and technology between China and Mongolia is huge.Finally,we put forward proposals to further improving trade cooperation between two countries.