体系对抗仿真实验动态控制问题研究

Dynamic Control of SOS Countermeasure Simulation Experiments

针对体系对抗问题复杂、传统静态仿真实验设计方法难以快速求解的问题,提出了动态仿真实验的解决方法。其总体思路是将复杂大问题分解为若干层子问题,进行多分辨率实验,利用实时实验结果控制实验方向和速度,进行序贯实验,最终提高实验效率。按照原理由易到难的顺序,依次探讨了实验次数的动态控制、实验方向的动态控制和多分辨率实验的动态控制问题。为了说明原理,具体介绍了参数估计和假设检验的实验次数控制方法和基于0.618法及梯度法的实验方向控制方法,最后给出了多分辨率仿真实验的求解框架。

To solve the complex problem of system of systems （SOS） countermeasure, a dynamic simulation experiment method is advanced. Firstly, the complex problem is disassembled into several sub-problems to conduct multi-resolution experiments. Secondly, the direction and velocity of the experiments is controlled based on the real-time results to conduct sequential experiments. The dy- namic control methods of experiment times, experiment velocity and resolution are discussed in turn. To show the principle of dynamic control, experiment times control methods of parametric estimation and hypothesis testing, and experiment direction control based on 0.618 method and gradient meth- od are discussed in detail. In the end, the multi-resolution framework of SOS simulation experiment is studied.