河南省旅游产业与城镇化发展水平回归分析

Regression Analysis on the Development Level of Tourism and Urbanization in Henan Province

经济转型时期,第三产业作为城镇化发展的后续动力,对城镇化的拉动作用日益凸显,而旅游业已被国家确定为第三产业的重点产业和积极发展的新的经济增长点。利用自然和文化优势发展旅游产业,是经济多元化发展的必然选择。选取河南省18省辖市为研究对象,在运用线性加权法确定城镇化发展水平与旅游产业发展水平的基础上,采用回归分析法确定旅游产业与城镇化的回归模型,定量分析二者的相关关系。河南省城镇化发展水平与旅游产业发展水平呈抛物线关系,表明旅游业和城镇化水平并不是简单的线性关系。

In the economic transformation period,the tertiary industry becoming more and more highlighted as the subsequent dynamics of the development of urbanization,and the tourism has been identified as a key industry and a new growth point to be developed actively. Developing the tourism industry by taking advantage of natural and cultural is an inevitable choice of economic diversification development. This paper selected 18 cities of Henan province as the research object,and analyzes the correlation quantitatively between tourism and urbanization using regression analysis based on linear weighted sum method to determine the development level of the cities. As the result indicates,there is a parabola relationship between tourism and urbanization. This result indicates that the development level of the tourism industry and urbanization is not a simple linear relation.