制造业国际贸易对服务化就业结构变迁影响的实证研究

The Effects of International Trade on Manufacturing Servitization Employment Structure Change

文章分析的是我国制造业部门国际贸易频度加大对制造业就业结构的影响,而在实体产业服务化的背景下,国际贸易的发展也进一步促进了产业内部就业岗位的模糊化,制造业部门中可以衍生出更多配套的生产型服务业岗位。实证结果证实,在20世纪末至21世纪初,外贸强度的增加会导致制造业从业人口比重下滑,而进入21世纪以后,外贸强度则与生产型服务业人口从业比例正相关。总体上,进口对于行业劳动力就业结构的调整力度更大一些,而多年以来的贸易顺差则几乎没有对产业结构造成实质性的影响。

This article studies the international trade frequency increasing impact of Chinese manufacturing sector on its employment structure. Under the background of manufacturing servitization,the development of international trade and its promotion on jobs,leads to the manufacturing sector jobs supporting production services. The empirical results confirm from the end of last century to the beginning of this century,that the increase of the strength of foreign trade leads to the decline of manufacture industry labors in the total industry population. In the period since the new century,foreign trade strength is positively related to the production services population. Over the years,the trade surplus has almost no substantial influence on industrial structure.