摘要
分析了基于数值天气预报的物理方法、统计方法和组合方法的主要原理和研究现状。目前越来越倾向于通过物理-统计或统计之间的组合方法来克服单一方法存在的缺陷,是今后风电功率预测方法的主要发展方向。
The main principle and research status of the physical method, statistical method and combination method of wind power prediction based on the Numerial Weather Prediction （NWP） is analyzed. At present it is inclined to overcome the defects of single method by using method combined with physical and statistical method or methods between statistics. The combination method is the main direction of the wind power prediction in the future.
出处
《贵州电力技术》
2016年第10期12-20,共9页
Guizhou Electric Power Technology
关键词
风电功率预测
数值天气预报
物理方法
统计方法
组合方法
Wind Power Prediction （WPP）
Numerial Weather Prediction （NWP）
physical method
statistical method
combination method
