汉江流域碳排放研究

Research on the Carbon Emissions in the Han River Basin

汉江流域是我国经济发展最为活跃的地区之一,研究碳排放对流域经济转型升级具有科学借鉴和实践指导意义,研究参考IPCC《国家温室气体排放清单指南》方法对汉江流域的碳排放进行了计算分析。结果表明:(1)碳排放强度从2005年的3.8降到了2014年的1.98,GDP的增长对碳排放依赖逐渐降低;但排放总量继续增加,减排任务依然严峻;(2)碳排放变异系数过高并呈现波动上升的趋势,汉江流域城市之间碳排放量差异较大,经济发展不平衡;(3)积极引导经济发展转型,走低碳绿色发展之路,是实现汉江流域经济-社会-环境友好发展的必然选择。

The Han River Basin is one of the most active areas in China＇s economic development,The study of carbon emission provides a scientific reference and practical guidance for the economic transformation and up-grading of the river basin.The carbon emission in the Han River Basin was calculated and analyzed by using the method of IPCC ＂Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Invento-ries ＂The results showed that：（1 ） carbon intensity in 2005 is from 3.8 down to 1.98 in 2014,GDP growth gradually reduce dependence on car-bon emissions;but emissions continue to increase,reduction task is still grim;（2）Carbon Variation coeffi-cient is too high and fluctuated upward trend in carbon emissions between in Han River basin city quite differ-ent,uneven economic development.（3 ）Actively guide the transformation of economic development,low car-bon green development is to achieve in Han River basin,economy -society -environment-friendly devel-opment is the inevitable choice.