基于排队论的舰空导弹杀伤概率估算

Kill Probability Estimation of Ship-to-air Missile Based on Queuing Theory

在装备试验中,武器系统的作战效率极为重要,对其杀伤概率的研究也摆在了突出位置。文中应用排队论对舰空导弹系统群的杀伤概率进行了评定,简述了排队论的原理,介绍了系统群受干扰时杀伤概率的估算,并绘制了杀伤概率和突防概率曲线,最后根据曲线得出三点结论。

The operational efficiency of weapon system in the equipment test is very important , and the study of kill probability should be put into the outstanding position In this part, the queuing theory is used to assess the kill probability of ship-to-air missile systematic group, and the principle queuing theory is described, the kill probability estimation when the systematic group get disturbed is introduced, and the kill probability curve and penetration probability curve are poted. Finally, three conclusions are drawn according to the curve.