区域产业转移对我国能源消费的影响

The Impact of Regional Industrial Transfer on China's Energy Consumption

基于2002年和2007年八大区域的投入产出表,通过对2002-2007年间我国八大区域间产业转移规模和流向的定量测评,计算出2002-2007年区域间产业转移导致我国一次能源消费增加了7333万吨标准煤,其中出口驱动的产业转移导致全国能源消费增加6805万吨,是能源消费转移出现净增加的主要原因。我国在推动产业转移的同时,并没能促进产业结构的有效升级,产业转移更多地表现为由高能效的地区转向环境标准相对较低的地区。因此,未来我国在制定产业转移政策时,除制定严厉的产业准入政策和环境规制政策外,还应当提高产业承接地区企业的能效水平,因地制宜,针对不同地区制定差别化的区域产业转移政策。

Based on the input and output tables of eight regions in 2002 and 2007, this paper conducts a quantitative measurement of the scale and flow direction of industrial transfer between the eight regions in China from 2002 to 2007, the results of the calculation show that such regional industrial transfer has led to an increase of 73.33 million tons to China＇s primary energy consumption,of which export-driven industrial transfer led to an increase of 68.05 million tons of national energy consumption, this is the main reason for the net increase of energy consumption. While promoting the industrial transfer, China failed to promote the effective upgrading of its industrial structure; the industrial transfer is more manifested as transferring from the energy-efficient areas to the areas with relatively lower environmental standards. Therefore, when formulating the future industrial transfer policy, China should not only work out stringent industrial access policies and environmental regulatory policies, but also improve the level of energy efficiency of the enterprises in the undertaking regions.China should enact differentiated regional industrial transfer policies according to local conditions.