基于Agent的技术合作创新仿真模型

Study on Simulation Model of Cooperative Innovation

学界对技术合作创新进行了大量研究,大体可以分为演化经济学和技术路径两种思路。但是,演化经济学缺少数量方法上的分析,无法反映促成合作的微观基础。而技术的路径依赖,锁定等方法只是关注技术,而忽视了参与合作的主体。为此,本文提出了基于Agent的仿真建模方法。采用自底向上的方法对模型展开讨论,首先讨论了技术合作创新的微观概念模型;在此基础上构建了基于Agent的仿真模型,并进行了仿真实验验证模型。最后本文对仿真实验进行了总结。

Currently,there are many studies in the field of cooperative innovation. Roughly,these models can be divided into two groups. The first group which is based on evolutionary economics focuses on major objects. The second group focuses on the essence of technologies themselves. Typical models in this group are Arthur＇s model of the＂lock-in＂of a single,and Kauffman＇s NK model which focuses on micro objects. In this paper,a simulation model is proposed,which integrates the basic ideas of both groups. For detail,the knowledge owed by the agents is discussed firstly. Then we discuss the interaction of these agents. Finally,the relations between the systems of cooperation innovation and environment are discussed. This model is implemented by Netlogo,and the results are analyzed in depth.