吉林省区域旅游经济发展的时空差异演变分析

Evolution Analysis on Spatial and Temporal Differences of Regional Tourism Economic Development in Jilin Province

该文以吉林省旅游经济为研究对象,以吉林省9个地级市2003-2013年近11年的旅游总收入和旅游总人数为基础数据进行统计分析。运用标准差、变异系数、首位度、塞尔指数对吉林省区域旅游经济发展的空间差异进行了分析,并对旅游总人数进行时间序列分析,揭示了吉林省旅游经济发展在时间上的变化趋势。研究结果表明:在空间差异上,旅游经济相对差异与绝对差异变化相反,前者不断增大,后者趋于稳定;空间总体上,结构未出现异常,不存在较集中的现象,首位分布不明显,但旅游经济空间出现两极化;旅游地带内差异与地带间差异表现为前者明显比后者稳定;在时间差异上,旅游总人数随时间呈现指数上升趋势;针对分析结果给出了相应的意见及建议。

In this paper, for the study of regional tourism economy in Jilin province, during 2003-2013 years 9 prefecture-level cities in Jilin province are analyzed nearly 11 years of total tourism revenues and tourism data. Using standard deviation, variation coefficient, first degree, Theil indexes on spatial dif- ference of regional economic development in Jilin province were analyzed. And overall travel time scales analysis of the time series, reveals the development of tourism economy in Jilin province at the time of the change. Results showed that： On the spatial difference of tourism economy increasing the relative difference, absolute difference tends to be stable; Space structure properly, set appropriate, there is no obvious first distribution, but space tourism economy two polarization differences in the tourist zone, zone leveling; On the difference in time, increased exponentially over time in overall trav- el trends; For the results of analysis, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put for- ward.