京津冀基本公共服务均等化水平测度及时空格局演变

The spatio-temporal evolution of basic public services equalization in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

通过构建基本公共服务均等化评价体系,采用集对分析模型对京津冀地区2006-2013年基本公共服务均等化水平进行了测度,并对其时空格局演变特征进行了分析。研究发现:1)时间序列上,2006年以来,京津冀地区基本公共服务均等化水平总体上呈现不断上升的趋势;市际间基本公共服务均等化水平具有明显的不均衡特征,随时间演进,市际间的相对差异与绝对差异均呈现缩小的趋势。2)空间格局上,京津冀地区基本公共服务水平总体呈现出由低水平不均衡格局向高水平均衡格局演进的趋势;基本公共服务空间格局呈现明显的中心外围结构,随时间演变,外围地区与中心基本公共服务梯度差异逐渐缩小;全局趋势上呈现出明显的自东北向西南衰减的梯度格局特征,与京津冀经济空间格局基本吻合。3)区域经济基础、城镇化发展水平、公共服务政策以及空间溢出效应对于公共服务水平具有重要影响。

By building the evaluation system of basic public services equalization and using the set pair analysis model,we measured the level of basic public services and analyzes the characteristics of spatio-temporal evolution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. The results as follow： 1From the view of time series,the overall level of basic public services equalization in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei has been improved obviously. The level of basic public services equalization among intercity showed uneven characteristic. The relative and absolute difference among cities showed the shrinking trend over time. 2 From the spatial pattern,the spatial evolution pattern showed the tendency that the low level and uneven patterns evolved into the high level and equilibrium patterns.The spatial pattern of basic public service presented the central peripheral structure. The gap of the level of basic public service between periphery and central region has narrowed over time. The global trend showed the characteristic that the level of basic public services attenuated from northeast to southwest. This spatial pattern was in accordance with the economic pattern. 3The regional economic base,the level of urbanization development,the public service policy and the spatial spillover effects were the influence factors of the basic public service.