摘要
借助SPSS20.0平台,采用时间序列预测方法,对区域经济进行预测。以Arc GIS中距离分析方法对环渤海的东北、华北和山东半岛区域交通可达性进行分析,在此基础上,通过建立区域经济联系强度测度模型,探讨了渤海海峡跨海通道建成前后对东北、华北和山东半岛区域经济联系及其空间格局的影响。研究表明,渤海海峡跨海通道建成后,山东半岛、辽东半岛区域间经济联系大为增强;山东半岛往西往北和辽东半岛往东往北区域间经济联系越来越弱;北京、天津、辽宁省的西北区域、河北和山西的北部区域、内蒙古的中西部区域其经济联系不受渤海海峡跨海通道建设的影响。
In the process of regional development, the construction of transportation infrastructure is an important support system. It is more significant of the large-scale transportation infrastructure construction for the regional space-time compression effect. With SPSS20.0 platform, this paper uses the time series forecasting method to forecast the regional economy. Analysis of traffic accessibility in the Northeast China, North China and Shandong peninsula of the region encircling Bohai Sea by using ArcGIS distance analysis method. On the basis of this, through the establishment of regional economic linkage intensity measurement model and discusses the regional economic ties influence of construction before and after the Bohai Sea-Crossing Passage in Northeast China, North China and Shandong Peninsula. The study shows that after the construction of the Bohai Sea-Crossing Passage Shandong Peninsula and Liaodong Peninsula inter regional economic relationship is greatly enhanced; Shandong Peninsula to the west and the north and the Liaodong peninsula to the east and the north regional economical relation is getting more and more weak; Beijing, Tianjin, northwest region of Liaoning Province, Hebei Province, northern region of Shanxi Province, midwest region of inner Mongolia and its economic ties are not affected by the construction of Bohai Sea-Crossing Passage.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第11期16-23,共8页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41171096)
国家社会科学基金特别委托项目(2007@ZH005)
国家软科学重大项目(2700ZXQ4D166)
关键词
渤海海峡跨海通道
“东华山”
交通可达性
区域经济联系
空间格局
Bohai Strait Cross-sea Channel
"Dong-Hua-Shan" area
transportation accessibility
regional economic ties
spatial pattern