丝绸之路经济带市域经济增长与产业结构变化

Economic Growth and Industrial Structure in Urban Area under Silk Road Economic Belt in Northwest China

基于广义矩估计法,将产业结构分解为产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化两个方面分析丝绸之路经济带中西北地区30个地级市2004—2013年的面板数据,得出结论:产业结构合理化与产业结构高级化均对经济增长有着显著影响,产业结构合理化对经济增长的影响更加稳定,产业结构高级化表现出不确定性;总体而言,产业结构合理化对西北地区经济发展的贡献大于产业结构高级化。

Based on GMM, this study decomposes the industrial structure into the structural rationalization and structural optimization to analyze the panel data of the 30 prefecture-level cities of Northwest China in the Silk Road Economic Belt from 2004 to 2013. The results indicate that the rationalization and optimization of industrial structure both have significant effects on economic growth, and the rationalization has a more stable effect on it. In general, the rationalization of industrial structure contributes more to the economic growth in Northwest China than the optimization of industrial structure.