扩大开放与环境规制对我国产业结构升级的影响

The Impact on the Upgrade of Industrial Structure from Environmental Regulation and Expansion of Openness in China

从分析扩大开放与环境规制相互作用机理入手,采用1998—2014年的省际面板数据,通过选取标志性事件,设立时间虚拟变量,构建计量模型探讨我国产业结构升级的问题。结果显示:开放初期,扩大开放与环境规制对我国产业结构升级的影响作用不显著;长期持续的扩大开放和环境规制对我国产业结构升级的调整作用显著,且开放的程度逾高,环境规制的调节作用逾明显。由此得出结论:扩大开放与环境规制对产业结构升级的影响经历了"冲突期"、"拐点期",在进入"协调期"后共同产生正向的促进作用。因此应推进扩大开放的进程,提升环境规制的力度,以促进我国产业结构的升级。

It establishes the panel data model to discuss the regularity of industrial structure upgrade based on China＇s inter-provincial panel data from 1998-2014, starting with mechanisms of interaction between expansion of openness and regulation of environment, choosing the landmarks and setting up time dummy variable. Measuring results show that： in the early years of opening-up, openness expansion and environmental regulation haven＇ t got the significant effect on industrial structure upgrade; the long-term sustainable openness expansion and environmental regulation have the significant effect on industrial structure adjustment; and the higher the degree of openness, the more obvious effect environmental regulation plays. It concludes that： the expansion of openness and regulation of environment, experiencing ＂Conflict Stage＂, ＂Inflection Stage＂ and then going into ＂Coordination Stage＂, finally play a positive promotion on the upgrade of industrial structure in China. Therefore, to upgrade the industrial structure, it should advance the process of the expansion of openness and improve the force of the environmental regulation.