关中—天水经济区人口重心与经济重心的空间演变分析

Evolvement Analysis of Population Gravity Center and Economy Gravity Center in Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Region

基于关中—天水经济区2000—2014年的统计数据,依据重心理论和灰色关联理论,对关中—天水经济区的人口重心、GDP重心和三次产业重心的动态变化过程进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:关中—天水经济区的GDP、人口、第一产业、第二产业、第三产业在空间上的分布是不均衡的。从重心曲线和灰色关联度看,第一产业是影响关中—天水经济区人口迁移的主要因素,第二产业是影响关中—天水经济区经济发展的主要因素。关中—天水经济区的人口重心曲线呈现出不断向几何中心靠近的趋势,而经济重心却呈现出不断远离几何中心的趋势。

Based on the statistical data at Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Region from 2000-2014, according to the gravity center theory and grey correlation theory, an analysis was made of the dynamic changes of population gravity center, GDP gravity center, the center of the primary industry, the tertiary industry and the secondary industry in Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Region. The results show the fol- lowing three aspect. The distribution of GDP, the population, the primary industry, the tertiary industry, and the secondary industry are indeed imbalanced in Guanzhong-Tianshui. From the curve of the gravi- ty center and the grey correlation degree, the tertiary industry is the main factors affecting the popula- tion migration. The secondary industry is the main factor affecting the economic development. The dis- tribution of the population gravity＇ s curve is concentrated, and the curve of economic gravity centre shows a trend of being away from geometric center.