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我国农村乳制品需求的影响因素研究

Research on Influence Factors of Chinese Dairy Consumption in Rural Areas
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摘要 当前我国农村对乳制品的需求相比城市差距较大,对其研究也相对较少。但随着农村经济发展和文化的繁荣,农村对乳制品的需求越来越大,出现广阔市场。本文在理论分析的基础上提出假设,并运用多元线性回归模型进行分析。发现农村年人均纯收入、受教育程度与农村乳制品消费需求呈正相关,乳制品进口量与其呈负相关,乳制品价格变动对农村需求影响不显著。在此基础上,提出了合理化的对策建议。 The dairy products demand in rural compared with the urban gap is larger,the amount of study also relatively small.But with the development of rural economy and the prosperity of culture,dairy demand in rural areas had great potential and broad market.Hypothesis were proposed on the basis of theoretical analysis,and multiple linear regression model was used for analysis.Results found that in rural areas per capita net income and level of education had positive relation with rural dairy consumption demand,dairy imports was related to its the opposite,no significant impact was found on rural demand for dairy products price change.Based on this,the countermeasures of rationalization proposals,were put forward.
作者 栗卫清 刘芳 何忠伟 LI Wei-qing LIU Fang HE Zhong-wei(Economic Management School of Beijing University ofAgriculture,Beijing 102206)
出处 《中国奶牛》 2016年第11期61-64,共4页 China Dairy Cattle
基金 2013年度国家自然科学基金面上项目(71373025) 2014年度国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473019) 北京市属高等学校高层次人才引进与培养计划项目(CIT&TCD20140314) 现代奶牛产业技术体系北京市创团队项目
关键词 农村 乳制品 因素 回归模型 结论 建议 Rural Dairy products Factors The regression model The conclusion
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