摘要
目的评估2016年11月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据既往传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,预计11月全国总报告事件数和病例数将较10月有所上升,主要以发生在学校的水痘、季节性流感、流行性腮腺炎、手足口病、其他感染性腹泻病等传染病暴发事件为主。人感染禽流感散发疫情将会逐渐上升。寨卡病毒病输入我国的风险持续存在,输入后在南方蚊媒条件适宜的地区仍有引发本地传播的风险。在东北和华北等燃煤自采暖家庭中发生非职业性一氧化碳中毒风险将明显上升。结论 2016年11月我国的突发公共卫生事件将有所上升;需重点关注人感染禽流感,一般关注季节性流感、寨卡病毒病、非职业性一氧化碳中毒所引发的公共卫生风险。
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China in November 2016. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels,and the experts in all the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results According to the analysis of recent and previous surveillance data of communicable diseases and public health emergencies,it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies or communicable diseases would increase in November 2016,mainly the outbreaks of varicella,seasonal influenza,mumps,hand foot and mouth disease and other infectious diarrheal diseases occurred in schools.The incidence of sporadic human infection with avian influenza virus would gradually increase. The importation risk of Zika virus disease still exits,and transmission of Zika virus after importation would occur in southern China due to the existence of Aedes. The risk of carbon monoxide poisoning would obviously increase in northern and northeastern China due to the household coal fired heating in winter. Conclusion The incidence of public health emergencies or communicable diseases would increase in China in November 2016. Close attention should be paid to the prevention and control of human infection with avian influenza virus; seasonal influenza,Zika virus disease and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning.
出处
《疾病监测》
CAS
2016年第11期892-895,共4页
Disease Surveillance
