低碳经济视角下福建省林业产业结构与林业经济协同发展研究——基于耦合协调度模型

Economy in Fujian Province under the Perspective of Low-carbon EconomyEconomy——Base on the Coupling Coordination Degree Model

林业发展对低碳经济和林业可持续发展具有深刻的指导意义,基于耦合协调度模型分析了福建省林业产业结构与林业经济协同发展状况。研究结果表明：2006~2014年福建省林业产业结构与林业经济的协同发展状态越来越好,2010年耦合协调度为0.44,处于过渡期,2013年以后耦合协调度高于0.8,进入协同发展良好状态。同时,2014年福建省各地区林业产业结构与林业经济协同发展状况存在空间差异,三明市协同状态排名第一,厦门市排名最后,闽南（除厦门外）和闽北区域的耦合协调度大于0.6,闽中和闽东区域的耦合协调度小于0.55;空间自相关分析发现,福建省各地区林业产业结构与林业经济耦合协调度的Moran’s I指数为-0.0219,呈现高低相间的空间分布格局,发挥了林业产业结构与林业经济的空间协同效应。

Forestry development has deeply guide meaning to the sustainable development of low-carbon economy and forestry, and the forestry industry structure and economic development in Fujian province are analyzed based on the coupling coordination degree model. The results show that in 2006~2014, the cooperative development condition in Fujian province between forestry industrial structure and forestry economic is getting better and better. In2010, the coupling coordination degree is 0.44 in the transition period. After 2013, the coupling coordination degree is higher than 0.8, going into a good state of the synergetic development. At the same time, in 2014, Fujian province forestry industrial structure and forestry economic cooperative development exist spatial difference. Sanming city cooperative state ranked first,while the Xiamen city ranked last. In the southern（except Xiamen outside）and northern in Fujian province, the coupling coordination degree is greater than 0.6, and in the central and eastern region of Fujian, the coupling coordination degree is less than 0.55. Spatial autocorrelation analysis found that the Moran ＇s I index of regional coupling coordination degree in Fujian province between forestry industrial structure and forestry economic is-0.0219, showing a high-and-low distribution and playing spatial synergiespreferably.