城镇化与区际交通协调发展关系研究——基于广东省21个地级市的分析

Coordinate Development between Urbanization and Interregional Transportation: A Case Study of Prefecture-level Cities in Guangdong Province

运用层次分析法、变异系数法对1994,2003,2012年广东省各地级市城镇化与交通系统的发展水平进行测算,并借鉴物理耦合协调概念建立协调发展指数,对广东省域城镇化与交通系统协调发展程度进行定量分析。结果表明:1994—2012年间广东省城镇化加速发展,内部差异呈缩小趋势,珠三角为当前城镇化高值区,粤西为城镇化高速发展区,粤北为城镇化塌陷区;广东交通系统发展水平不断提高,但内部差异增大,粤东地区交通发展始终处于落后地位;各地级市城镇化与交通系统协调发展状况不断改善,但以低层次协调发展为主,城镇化与交通系统两者的关系由20世纪90年代的城镇化滞后转变为现阶段的交通滞后。

The relationship is close between transportation and urbanization, and it is important to correctly understand the relationship for reginal prosperity and development. AHP （ analytic hierarchy process） and CV（ coefficient of variation） were used to evaluate the development level of urbanization and transportation, setting up coordinate development index to evaluate the coordinate development relationship. The conclusion as follow： Firstly, from 1994 to 2012, the urbanizational progress has accelerated, and the internal gap has narrowed. At present, Paerl River Detla region’s urbanization level is highest, eastern Guangdong is lowest, and western Guangdong’s speed of urbanization is fastest. Secondly, the internal gap expands with the high development of interregional transportation, and the eastern Guangdong is behind other regions in Guangdong. Thirdly, the coordinate development conditions continue to improve between urbanization and interregional transportation but the development level is low. The relationship has transformed from urbanization lag during 1990s to transportation lag nowadays.