区域发展战略、基础设施投资与经济增长——基于动态面板数据模型的实证研究

The regional development strategy,infrastructure investment and economic growth-empirical research based on dynamic panel data model

本文利用2000-2013年30个省份的面板数据,实证分析基础设施投资对区域经济增长的时间、空间效应及其传导路径。论证显示:在FDI、劳动力、人口密度、固定资产投资、基础设施投资五个变量的条件下,时间维度上基础设施投资对区域经济增长具有显著的正向促进作用,空间维度上对全国和中西部地区具有显著的正向促进作用。在对传导路径的研究中可以看出,促进东部地区经济增长的决定因素是固定资产投资和劳动力的数量、素质等,因此,在东部地区要增加固定资产投资,调整人才培养结构;在西部、中部地区要增加基础设施投资,为经济发展提供便利条件。

In this paper, using the panel data of 30 provinces from 2000 to 2013, the empirical analysis of infrastructure investment in time and space effect of regional economic growth and its transmission path. Argument shows that： in FDI, labor force, population density, fixed assets investment and infrastructure investment under the condition of the five variables, time dimension on infrastructure investment has significant positive promoting effect on regional economic growth, on the spatial dimension in the country and, in the western region has significant positive role in promoting. Can be seen in the study of transmission path, can promote economic growth in eastern deciding factor is the number of fixed asset investment and labor, quality, etc. Therefore, in the eastern region should increase the investment in fixed assets, adjust the structure of talent training; In the west, the central region should increase investment in infrastructure, to provide convenient conditions for economic development.