基于分形理论的新疆旅游经济时空特征研究

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Xinjiang Tourism Economy Based on Fractal Theory

区域旅游经济时空分布特征是旅游规划编制与实施的基础,不同的数据处理方法可以获取不同角度的分析结论,进而可以协助人们更准确地认识旅游经济时空特征,对科学编制旅游规划具有积极意义。以新疆14个地州(市)统计资料为基础,运用分形理论对2005—2012年的新疆旅游经济聚集维数和关联维数分别进行测算。结果表明,新疆旅游经济发展水平可以划分为较发达区域,如乌鲁木齐市、伊犁直属县(市)等,以及较滞后区域,如和田地区、博州等,并呈现由较滞后区域向较发达区域靠近的趋势;同时,乌鲁木齐市作为新疆旅游中心城市,具有较强的集聚作用。据此,新疆旅游经济优化的重点在于建立一个完善的旅游优化圈,通过旅游优化圈的层层辐射作用,使新疆旅游经济的发展水平突破原有状态,达到更高层次。

Spatial and temporal characteristics of regional tourism economy were the basis of the tourism planning and implementation. Different angles of analysis conclusion derived from different data processing methods,which could help to accurately understand the spatial and temporal characteristics of regional tourism economic distribution,and was of positive significance to scientific tourism planning. Based on the statistical data of 14 prefectures（ cities） in Xinjiang,the aggregation dimension and the correlation dimension of Xinjiang tourism economy in 2005- 2012 were measured by fractal theory. Results showed that the development level of Xinjiang tourism economy could be divided into relatively developed region（ Urumqi,direct counties and cities of Ili） and relatively lagging region（ Hetian area,Bozhou）,showing the trend of relatively lagging region changing to relatively developed region. At the same time,as the tourism central cities of Xinjiang,Urumqi had relatively strong aggregation effects. Therefore,the key to optimize Xinjiang tourism economy was to establish a perfect optimization circle of tourism. The radiation effects tourism optimization circle could make the development level of Xinjiang tourism economy break the original state,and achieve a higher level.