基于R/S分析法的湖北省港口群物流协调发展研究

Study on Coordinated Logistics Development of Harbor Cluster in Hubei Based on R/S Analysis

港口物流作为综合运输体系中的关键环节,对其发展研究具有重要的理论意义与现实价值。在分析湖北省港口群物流发展现状的基础上,从绝对差异与相对差异两方面对湖北省港口群物流协调发展现状进行测度,利用R/S分析法对指标进行分形分析,根据结果进行分析可知,湖北省港口群物流发展的绝对差异在逐渐增大,而相对差异却呈缓慢降低趋势,尽管港口群不协调程度有所下降,但不协调、不平衡仍然存在,且发展具有长期正相关特征,不协调趋势仍将继续。

In this paper, on the basis of an analysis of the current logistics development status of the harbor cluster in Hubei, we measured the state of the coordinated development of the cluster from the aspects of absolute difference and relative difference and carried out a fractal analysis of the relevant indexes using the R/S analytic process, judging from the result of which we found that the absolute difference in the development of the harbor cluster in Hubei is expanding while the relative difference of it is closing and though the level of discordance is lowering, discordance and imbalance still existed and were positively related to the development of the harbor cluster.