基于整体网模型的区域产业结构的升级比较与动态演变——以东部沿海综合经济区为例

The Comparison and Dynamic Evolution of Regional Industrial Structure Based on the Whole Network Model——A Case of Eastern Coastal Comprehensive Economic Zone

本文从关系的视角研究区域产业结构升级以及变化,用社会网络的方法,针对核心产业、产业升级、产业结构演变以及影响产业结构的因素,以东部沿海经济区为例进行实证研究。对于核心产业,使用产业中心性、产业影响力以及结构洞与中间人评价指标,运用模糊数学与向量夹角余弦组合评价模型来评价核心产业。对于产业升级,使用可视化与对比分析来对不同年份的核心产业进行评估,得出东部沿海经济区2007年至2012年产业升级幅度较大,核心产业变化较大。对于产业结构,使用块模型分析,得出结果为东部沿海经济区可以分为四大板块,不同年份产业的结构之间联系有变化。对影响产业结构的因素使用QAP相关分析以及QAP回归分析,QAP方法解决了一般统计方法不能处理的关系数据回归,得出了东部沿海经济区的产业结构受产业在经济区外的流出、原先的产业结构以及我国三大产业划分的影响。

From the perspective of the relationship to study the regional industrial structure upgrade and change, this research studies eastern coastal economic zone with the methods of social network, the core industry, industrial upgrading, industrial structure evolution and influence factors of industrial structure. This research uses the concept of industrial centricity, industrial influence as well as the structure of the hole and the middle of the evaluation index to study the core industry, and use the concept of fuzzy mathematics and vector angle cosine combination evaluation model to evaluate the core industry. For industrial upgrading, this research uses visual and comparative analysis to assess the core industries of different years and concludes the result that the eastern coastal economic zone in 2007 to 2012 industrial upgrading and the core industry has changed a lot. This research uses Block model to analyze the industrial structure and the results for the eastern coastal economic zone can be divided into four plates. The structures of the industrial in different years have changed. Analyzing the influence factors of industrial structure using the QAP correlation analysis and QAP regression, QAP method to solve the relationship between data statistical methods can not deal with the regression, we conclude that the industrial structure of the eastern coastal economic zone by the industry in the economic zone of the outflow, the industrial structure and the original division of China＇s three major industry influence.