武汉城市圈发展阶段及空间发展方向研究

Development Stages and Spatial Development Direction of Wuhan City Circle

城市群已经成为我国推进新型城镇化的主体形态。在城市群的不同发展阶段,其发展重点和路径差异较为明显,因此科学判断城市群的发展阶段是制定和实施相关规划的关键前提。以武汉城市圈为例,构建矩阵评价模型,经研究判断武汉城市圈的发展阶段为快速发育阶段。在此基础上,以客运班次和快递网点数据为依据,运用社会网络分析方法,对武汉城市圈未来空间发展方向进行了研究,结果表明武汉城市圈未来空间宜向武汉-黄石方向发展,具有明显潜力的发展方向为武汉—咸宁方向和武汉—仙桃方向,而向其他方向发展的趋势尚不明显。

Urban agglomeration is now the key spatial embodiment of ＂New Urbanization＂ in China. Yet, in different socio-economic and geographical contexts, existent urban agglomerations in China are experiencing different development stages. Therefore, an accurate assessment of the development stage of a certain urban agglomeration is the scientific foundation of relevant plan formulation and implementation for it. Taking Wuhan city circle as an example, this paper evaluates its development stage by a new matrix assessment model, with the conclusion that Wuhan city circle is now at the speedy development stage. Through social network analysis using data of courier dispatch points and runs of passenger coaches, it is found that its spatial development directions tend to be Wuhan-Huangshi, Wuhan-Xianning and Wuhan-Xiantao, while there is no clear evidence showing the potential in other directions.