弃风弃光背景下农业电能替代推广模式及实施研究

Promotion Pattern of Agricultural Electric Power Alternatives Based on High Light and Wind Abandoned Rate and Implementation

2015年我国弃风弃光形势严峻,全国弃风电量达33.9TWh,新能源消纳以及引入社会资本成为电能替代推广过程中需重要考虑的因素。基于运行成本分析法计算临界销售电价,对农业电能替代方法进行竞争力分析,提出"第三方投资+新能源直购电"、"区域联合绿能费用托管"电能替代模式,并进行了算例分析。依据算例并结合国家电力发展规划为农业电能替代现阶段的实施设计方案。

In 2015, the phenomenon of abandoning wind and discarding light in China is extremely serious, the national abandoning wind power is 33.9 TWh, the consumptions of renewable energy and the participation of social capital now becomes the important factors in the promotion process of electric power alternatives. This paper makes economic analysis about the electric power alternatives in agriculture using critical sales price which is calculated by the operating cost analysis, puts forward two kinds of promotion pattern of the electric power alternatives in agriculture, one is ＂third-party investment ＋ the direct purchase of new energy＂, the other is ＂contract energy management＂, and gives an illustrative example. Based on the above example and the national electric power development plan, this paper designs the implementation of the agricultural electric energy substitution at this stage.