贸易伙伴对第三方发起反倾销对中国出口三元边际的影响研究

Analysis of the Impacts of Trading Partners' Anti-Dumping Initiating on the Third Parties on Ternary Margins of China's Export

文章匹配了2000-2013年联合国贸易商品(UN Comtrade)数据库230万个HS-6位数商品数据,基于Hummels and Klenow(2005)的方法对中国出口贸易进行三元边际分解,从贸易伙伴国对第三方发起反倾销活动的视角研究其对中国出口贸易三元边际的影响及机制。实证结果表明:第三方遭遇反倾销活动促进了中国出口贸易扩展边际的增长,抑制了中国出口贸易数量边际和价格边际的增长;反倾销活动对中国向非OECD国家出口扩展边际的促进作用更显著;采用不同反倾销变量进行检验表明,实证结果具有稳健性。

Referring to Hummels and Klenow＇s （2005） decomposition method, we collect and complete match 2,300,000 HS6-digit commodity of international trade data from 2000 to 2013 in the United Nations Commodity Trade Database （UN Comtrade Database） to decompose China＇s export to ternary margins. From the perspective of anti-dumping activities that China＇s export trade partners initiate on the third party, this paper will study the effect and mechanism that the activities create on the Ternary Margins of China＇s Export. Empirical results show that the anti-dumping activities suffered by the third party can promote extensive margin but restrict the quantity and price margin of Chinese exports. Besides, the promotion effect that anti-dumping activities pose on China＇s export marginal expansion to non-OECD countries is more significant. This study Uses different anti-dumping variables to analysis and the empirical results are robust.