广东省创意阶层集聚的时空演变及其影响因素分析

THE SPATIAL DISPARITIES OF AGGLOMERATION OF CREATIVE CLASS AND DETERMINATES IN GUANGDONG PROVINCE

以广东省21个地级市为例,利用ESDA分析方法和2000—2012年的数据,对广东省创意阶层的空间集聚特征和演变趋势、影响因素进行了初步探索。结果表明:广东省创意阶层的空间分布存在明显差异,主要集中在珠三角地区,东西两翼和粤北山区分布较少,与广东省经济格局较为一致,集聚呈现二元结构;在总体空间格局上,区域创意阶层分布存在显著的空间正相关特征,空间整体差异呈现先缩小后扩大的趋势;各地级市自身与周边地区的相互联系比较微弱,创意阶层高聚集区的辐射和带动作用不明显。从创意阶层空间集聚的影响因素看,不同时间段的显著影响因素存在差异。总体上,科技是持续显著影响广东省创意阶层空间集聚的因素,其次是社会人文因素和城市的工资水平。

In recent years, the eastern coastal developed regions of China are transforming into the post-indus- trial society. Advanced service industry and creative economy have become the new driving force of urban economic growth. The agglomeration of creative class also has become an important factor to promote the re- gional economic development and urban competitiveness. Based on the 21 cities of Guangdong province, this paper makes a primary exploration of the spatial characteristics and trends, influence factors of creative class, with the method of ESDA and data from 2000 to 2012. The results show that there is significant differ- ence of the spatial distribution of creative class in Guangdong province, which is consistent with its econom- ic pattern. At the same time, the disparities of cluster present dual structure. In other words, the creative class mainly concentrated in the Pearl River Delta region, on the contrary, the east and west wings and the north mountainous area are less distributed. Furthermore, in the overall spatial pattern, the regional distribution of creative class showed a positive spatial correlation. And the spatial disparities dwindled first and enlarge af- terward. In addition, there is weak connection between the city itself and surrounding areas, so the influence of radiation that the high level of spatial agglomeration of creative class is still not displayed very well. Lastly, there are many important factors infect spatial disparities of creative class in Guangdong province and differences in factors at various times. Generally, the sustained and significant influence on the agglomeration of creative class is technology, and followed by social-cultural factors, public service amenities.