兰州市城市经营性土地供应数量优化研究

Study on Supply Quantity Optimization of Operating Land in Lanzhou City

优化经营性土地供应数量既是土地资源合理配置的核心与关键,也是宏观经济供给侧改革在土地领域的重要实现手段。以甘肃省兰州市经营性土地最优供应数量计算为例,基于经营性土地需求与供给预测思路与方法,针对供需之间较大的数量差异,采用切合实际的逻辑斯蒂模型平衡供需缺口,构建供需均衡下的经营性土地最优供应数量模型。计算得出兰州市2015—2019年的经营性土地最优供应数量为825.05hm^2,期间内每年的最优供应数量围绕165.01hm^2上下波动,测算的每年土地供应数量较之2010—2014年的土地供应数量呈现供应数量区间低值。通过对上述指标的运用,可引导供应土地数量趋于最优,解决土地市场供需失衡的矛盾,以高效的经营性土地供给制度落实宏观经济供给侧结构改革目标。

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