我国商品进口额影响因素的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Influence Factors of Commodity Imports in China

商品进口额是衡量进出口贸易的基本指标之一.在分析商品进口额的影响因素时,定性分析预测可能影响商品进口额的6个解释变量,并以商品进口额为被解释变量构建回归模型.运用计量经济学软件Eviews对各变量进行线性回归,得出我国的商品进口额与人均国内生产总值(GDP)、国民总收入有较强的相关关系,并给出分析和建议.

Commodity imports is one of the basic indicators to measure the condition of import and export trade. Based on the analysis of commodity imports, sit explanatory variables which may influence commodity imports were discussed through the qualitative analysis firstly. Then regression model was built with commodity imports as the explained variable,and Eviews software was used to establish linear regression. The result shows that commodity imports have a strong relationship with Per Capita GDP and gross national income. Finally, the analysis and suggestions were put forward.