中国当前经济增长率下行的异质性、原因及对策——基于积累的社会结构方法

The Heterogeneity,Reason and Countermeasure of China's Current Downward Economic Growth Rate——Based on the Accumulation of Social Structure Method

现有研究对经济增长率下行阶段的异质性探讨不足且缺乏将供给侧和需求侧原因统一在一个分析框架内的理论基础。马克思主义积累的社会结构学派为这两个问题提供了解决方案。本文借鉴这一方法将中国1953—2013年出现的经济增长率下行阶段区分为再生产周期中的经济增长率下行和非再生产周期中的经济增长率下行,认为当下中国经济增长率下行属于非再生产周期中的经济增长率下行,然后利用资本积累"三步骤"框架探究导致中国当前经济增长率下行的制度原因,提出中国走出非再生产周期的政策建议。

The current research on the heterogeneity of the downward economic growth rate is insuffi- cient and lack of the theoretical basis to set up an analytical framework in which the reasons of both supply side and the demand side are studied. Marxist theory of social structural accumulation pro- vides solutions to these two problems. Drawing on this method, the thesis has distinguished the 1953--2013 downward economic growth rate in China into two parts： the downward economic growth rate in the reproduction cycle and the downward economic growth rate in the non-repro- duction cycle. The thesis believes that the current downward economic growth rate in China be- longs to the downward economic growth rate in the non-reproduction cycle. The thesis explores the institutional reasons leading to the current downward economic growth rate in China, and puts forward the policy suggestions for China to go out of the non-reproduction cycle.