摘要
作为我国的对外贸易大省,广东省的价格贸易条件对我国外贸有着举足轻重的影响。论文采用"环比-定基"两步法对1995-2014年广东省价格贸易条件指数进行测算,结果显示着趋于下降。通过实证分析,发现广东省价格贸易条件指数与广东省出口商品结构、广东省GDP之间存在长期的均衡关系,而广东实际外商直接投资、我国实际关税率和人民币实际有效汇率的变动对广东省价格贸易条件指数的解释力不强。
As a major foreign trade province of China, Guangdong provincial terms of trade has great influence on that of China' s. In this paper, Guangdong net barter terms of trade (NBTT) would be calculated from 1995 to 2014 by the application of "chain based-con- stant based" two-step method. The result shows that Guangdong provincial NBTT generally tended to decline. This paper also carries on the empirical analysis of the main influential factors on Guangdong NBT-F. It found that the ratio of Guangdong provincial export manu- factured goods to export goods and Guangdong provincial GDP are key factors influencing Guangdong provincial NBTT, however, the amount of Guangdong provincial FDI, China' s actual tariff rate and RMB real effective exchange rate are the opposite.
出处
《惠州学院学报》
2017年第1期52-56,共5页
Journal of Huizhou University
基金
广东高校优秀青年创新人才培育计划项目(A411.0107)
惠州学院人文社会科学项目(C211.0207)
关键词
价格贸易条件
进出口价格指数
“环比—定基”两步法
实证分析
Net barter terms of trade
index of import and export
"chain based-constant based" two-step method
empirical analysis