“丝绸之路经济带”交通设施投资对经济增长效应分析

Study on the Spatial Spillover Effect of Transportation Infrastructure on Economic Growth in “the Silk Road Economic Belt”

基于多种经济增长理论,选取影响"丝绸之路经济带"多变量省际面板数据,构建交通基础设施对经济增长的空间溢出效应模型,结果发现:2000~2014年"丝绸之路经济带"交通基础设施促进了经济增长;不考虑空间溢出效应的测算结果放大了交通基础设施的贡献率;外地交通基础设施对本地经济增长存在正的空间溢出效应。

This paper selected the multi-variable intercity panel data that influenced ＂ the Silk Road Economic Belt＂,and set up the transportation infrastructure spatial spillover effect model on economic growth based on a variety of economic growth theory. Results showed that,transportation infrastructure of ＂ the Silk Road Economic Belt ＂ promoted economic growth from 2000 to 2014. The contribution rate of transportation infrastructure would be overestimated if it not considered the spatial spillover effect. The nonlocal transportation infrastructure had a positive effect on the local economic growth.