土地供应结构对产能过剩的影响--基于省级数据的分析

Influences on the excess production capacity by land supply structure:analysis based on provincial data

利用2001-2014年的省级数据,检验了土地供地结构在城镇化与产能过剩关系中的调节效应。结果显示:在城镇化进程中,建设用地供应中工业用地占比越高,越容易刺激制造业要素粗放投入,进而对产能过剩产生助推作用;住宅和商服用地占比越高,越有可能使城镇化发挥扩张需求作用,可相对弱化城镇化对产能过剩的刺激。因此,要避免城镇化过快造成的产业效率损耗,除了控制土地供应总量,还须从结构上优化土地使用类型,适度降低工业用地在新增建设用地中的比重,杜绝对工业园区的过度规划和"以地招商"。

Using China＇ s provincial data of 2001 - 2014, this essay tests land supply structure＇ s moderation effect acting in the relation between urbanization and excess production capacity. The results are as follow： The bigger proportion industrial land has in state -owned construction land, the more motivated enterprises are to extensively increase their input of production factors; the bigger proportion residential and commercial land has, the more likely urbanization is to expand market demand, thus somewhat weakening urbanization＇ s aggravation on excess production capacity. In order to avert industry efficiency loss caused by overly -fast urbanization, except for introducing total amount controls on land supply, the following measures should be taken： optimizing the type of land use, measurably lowering the share of industrial land in construction land＇ s increment, eradicating phenomena such as overly programming industrial parks and using land to attract investment.