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贸易自由化、制造业中心迁移及其稳定性

Trade Liberalization,Move of the Monocentric of Manufacturing Industries and Its Stability
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摘要 本文以Fujita和Krugman所构建的封闭经济单中心模型为基础,考察贸易自由化对一国制造业中心迁移及其稳定性的影响。模拟结果表明:随着贸易自由化的推进,制造业中心将向贸易成本下降的邻国移动,关税较高的一国的制造业中心距离两国的边界更远,同时贸易自由化程度的不断提高使制造业中心的空间分布趋于分散。这为理解改革开放以来我国制造业在空间分布上向东南沿海集聚提供了一种理论解释,同时也暗示,随着"一带一路"战略的逐步推进,中国制造业中心在空间上将整体向西移动,特别是将产生多个临界边境的次中心。 This paper investigates the influence of trade liberalization on the evolution of the monocentric of manufacturing industries and its stability by extending the closed monocentric model developed by Fujita and Krugman(1995)to the two-country case.It shows that a country's monocentric of manufacturing industries moves to the border near to the other country with the decreasing of its importing barrier.Moreover,its stability becomes weaker during this process.While the country's monocentric of manufacturing industries that has a higher importing barrier is more far from the border than the other country given other conditions as the same.The model developed in this paper helps explain why manufacturing industries concentrate gradually to southeast coast since China's economic reform and openness.The framework proposed in this paper can also be applied to analyze the effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on the spatial redistribution of China's manufacturing industries.
出处 《中南财经政法大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2017年第1期115-122,131,共9页 Journal of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law
基金 国家自然科学基金面上项目"我国城市贸易结构空间分布研究"(71273167) 上海曙光项目"我国城市比较优势形成机制研究"(14SG51) 上海对外经贸大学国家开放与发展研究院"一带一路与亚投行研究"知识服务团队项目
关键词 贸易自由化 制造业中心 集聚 一带一路 关税 贸易成本 Trade liberalization Monocentric Agglomeration Manufacturing Industry the Belt and Road Initiative
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