1965—2015年大连市旅顺口区气温变化分析

Analysis on Temperature Variation of Lvshunkou District in Dalian City During 1965-2015

利用旅顺口区国家观测站1965—2015年的逐月气温资料,用气候均值和均方差方法分析气温的趋势变化,并采用蒙特卡洛显著检验对旅顺口区51年来四季气温进行分析。结果表明:旅顺口区气温呈逐渐上升的趋势,其中春季、秋季和冬季气温上升趋势明显,年平均气温以0.27℃/10年的速度上升。

Based on monthly temperature data of Lvshunkou District National Obseivation Station during 1965-2015 ,the temperature change trend was analyzed by the climate mean and mean square deviation method, and the seasonal temperatures of Lvshunkou District in recent 51 years were analyzed by Monte Carlo significance test.The results showed that the temperature of Lvshunkou District was gradually rising,the rising trends of spring ,autumn and winter were obvious ,and the annual average temperature was rising by 0.27 ℃per 10 years.