阿斯塔纳气化方案对哈国南线管道输气量的潜在影响

The potential influence to Kazakhstan's South pipeline gas transmission volume by the scheme for gasification in Astana

哈萨克斯坦政府批准的《2030年天然气领域发展构想》和《天然气气化总体规划》对该国新首都阿斯塔纳的气化问题予以了高度关注。目前,阿斯塔纳有三种气化方案:一是建设萨雷阿尔卡天然气管道,二是开发卡拉干达煤层气,三是建设西部-北方-中部天然气管道及扩大与俄气的"串气"业务。目前这三个气化方案都缺乏明确的时间表。后两个方案对哈国南线天然气管道未来输气量的影响非常有限。如果实施第一个方案,可能使哈国南线天然气管道上游至卡拉奥杰克压气站的输气量达到100亿立方米/年的设计输气能力,但该方案目前存在诸多有待进一步明确的问题。

＂The Concept of the Republic of Kazakhstan Gas Sector Development by 2030＂ and ＂Overall Plan of Gas Supply Provision＂ approved by Kazakhstan＇s government pay special attention to gasification for the new capital of Kazakhstan–Astana. Currently, there are three options of the scheme for gasification in Astana： 1） constructing the Saryarka gas pipeline; 2） exploiting coalbed methane in Karaganda; 3） constructing the West-North-Center gas pipeline and expanding the business that interrelated with Russia＇s gas. As of now there are no clear schedules of these projects. The last two schemes have the limited effects on future via Beineu-Bozoy-Shymkent. If implementing the first one, the gas transmission volumes from BCMA upstream to Karaozek CS could be up to 10 billion cubic meters per year of its design capability but this scheme need a great deal of clarifications so far.