斑马片病入侵中国的风险分析及管理对策

Risk analysis of zebra chip in China and its management strategy

根据国际植物检疫措施标准(ISPM)第2号有害生物风险分析框架和第11号检疫性有害生物风险分析程序,从斑马片病的国内外分布状况、潜在危害性、受害栽培作物的经济重要性、传播扩散的可能性及危险性管理难度5个方面对其在中国的风险性进行了多指标方法分析。结果表明,斑马片病在中国的综合风险值R为2.48,其病原Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum为高度危险的有害生物。针对该病提出了相应的风险管理对策。

Distribution, potential damage level, economic value of damaged host plants, spreading probability and risk- management difficulty of zebra chip in China were analyzed, according to international standards for phytosanitary measures （ISPM） NO.2 Pest Risk Analysis Framework and NO.11 Quarantine Pest Risk Analysis Program. The results showed that synthetic index of the pest risk in China was estimated to be 2.48, which indicated that Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum was a dangerous alien species with high risk in China. And management strategy against the disease was put forward this paper.