汽车企业碳资产培育仿真模拟研究

当前,我国正在推动建立全国碳交易市场,未来企业如何在碳交易市场中获得长远发展是企业亟待解决的问题。本文识别出汽车企业主要的碳资产架构,提炼出碳资产价值贡献的量化原理,建立碳资产培育的仿真模型。仿真结果发现:汽车企业的碳资产具有涌现性,其中汽车企业的低碳技术(低碳产品),既是企业初期应该培育的核心碳资产,也是产量能够在低碳规制下获得增长的关键,消费者的青睐更是凝聚低碳品牌的重要力量。最后,本文对汽车企业如何培育碳资产提出了建立碳资产管理库,实施动态管理;模拟对比分析,优化碳资产培育路径;与企业发展规划匹配,转化与提升碳资产价值等管理建议。

China is promoting the development of national carbon trading market at present. How enterprises can obtain a long-term development in carbon trading market is the problem demanding a prompt solution. This paper identified the framework of main carbon assets in automobile enterprise and extracts the quantitative principal of value contribution of carbon assets to establish the simulation model of carbon assets cultivation. The simulation results indicated the carbon asset of automobile enterprise has emergent property. It shows that low-carbon technologies （low-carbon products） in automobile enterprise is the core carbon assets that should be cultivated at the beginning and the key to increase the output in low-carbon regulations. Besides, the favor from consumers is a significant force to cohere low-carbon brand. At last, the paper put forward management recommendations on the cultivation of carbon assets for automobile enterprise, including establishing carbon assets management repository to implement dynamic management; making analogue simulation and comparative analysis to optimize the way for the cultivation of carbon assets; matching carbon assets management with enterprise development plan, and transferring and improving the value of carbon assets.