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Contemporary Analytic Philosophy and Bayesian Subjectivism: Why Both Are Incoherent 被引量:1

Contemporary Analytic Philosophy and Bayesian Subjectivism: Why Both Are Incoherent
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摘要 My purpose in this paper is to argue for two separate, but related theses. The first is that contemporary analytic philosophy is incoherent. This is so, I argue, because its methods contain as an essential constituent a non-classical conception of intuition that cannot be rendered consistent with a key tenet of analytic philosophy unless we allow a Bayesian-subjectivist epistemology. I argue for this within a discussion of two theories of intuition: a classical account as proposed by Descartes and a modem reliabilist account as proposed by Komblith, maintaining that reliabilist accounts require a commitment to Bayesian subjectivism about probability. However, and this is the second thesis, Bayesian subjecfivism is itself logically incoherent given three simple assumptions: (1) some empirical propositions are known, (2) any proposition that is known is assigned a degree of subjective credence of 1, and (3) every empirical proposition is evidentially relevant to at least one other proposition. I establish this using a formal reductio proof. I argue for the t-u-st thesis in section 1 and for the second in section 2. The final section contains a summary and conclusion.
作者 Tom Vinci
机构地区 Dalhousie University
出处 《Journal of Philosophy Study》 2016年第10期578-585,共8页 哲学研究(英文版)
关键词 INTUITIONS BAYESIANISM probability SUBJECTIVISM RATIONALITY analytic philosophy evidence RELIABILISM 主观主义 分析哲学 贝叶斯 组成部分 主观信任 命题 论文 非经典
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