中国式财政分权对公共教育支出影响的实证分析——基于非线性面板门槛模型的回归

Influence of Sinotype Fiscal Decentralization on Public Education Expenditure——Based on Nonlinear Panel Threshold Model Regression

主流的财政分权理论认为,分权有利于增加地方政府对教育等公共物品供给。基于2007-2013年中国省级面板数据,运用非线性面板门槛方法实证分析财政分权对公共教育支出的影响。研究发现,财政分权对地方政府公共教育支出影响存在非线性双重门槛特征,当财政分权度提高跨越门槛值,其对教育支出的负向影响程度随之降低。此外本文研究同时发现,转移支付对地方政府教育支出规模具有显著的负效应。

Mainstream fiscal decentralization theory views that decentralization will lead to the increase of education and other public goods supply by local governments. Based on the China＇s provincial panel data （2007-2013）, the paper analyzes the effect of fiscal decentralization on public education expenditure by means of nonlinear threshold model. The study shows that impact of fiscal decentralization on local governments public expenditure has a nonlinear double threshold feature, when the degree of fiscal decentralization enhances, the negative influence decreases. We also find that the scale of fiscal transfer payments to local government has a significant negative effect on education expenditure.