摘要
基于水文随机分析方法中的跳跃原理,采用有序聚类分析法确定广西澄碧河水库汛期入库流量跳跃点为5月中旬与8月下旬,并用游程检验法对其跳跃成分进行显著性检验,确定前汛期为4月上旬至5月中旬,主汛期为5月下旬至8月下旬,后汛期为9月上旬至10月下旬。采用轮次分析原理对分期结果进行合理性检验,认为该分期结果合理。该方法具有计算便捷、识别精度高以及分期结果可靠等优点。
On the basis of the shift or jump principle of hydrologic stochastic analysis method,orderly clustering analysis method was adopted to decide Guangxi Chengbihe Reservoir flood season staging that the jump points were in the middle of May and late August,and run length testing method was used to do significant testing of jump component. Reaching a conclusion that the antecedent flood season is from early April to mid May,main flood season is from late May to late August,and the late flood season is from early September to late October. And then rounds analysis principle is used to test the staging results,showing that the staging result is reasonable. This method has the advantages of convenient calculation,high precision of recognition and reliable staging result etc.
出处
《人民黄河》
CAS
北大核心
2017年第2期38-41,共4页
Yellow River
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51569003)
广西自然科学基金资助项目(2015GXNSFAA139248)
广西防灾减灾与工程安全重点实验室系统性研究项目(2014ZDX01)
广西水利厅科技项目(201507)
广西高等学校优秀中青年骨干教师培养工程项目
关键词
跳跃分析
有序聚类分析法
显著性检验
轮次分析
汛期分期
澄碧河水库
shift or jump analysis
orderly clustering analysis
significant testing
rounds principle
flood season stages
Chengbihe Reservoir
