补贴政策与农户稻作制度选择——基于湖南省微观调研的证据

The Effect of Subsidy Policy on Rice Planting Pattern Choices of Peasant Households:Evidence from Micro-investigation in Hunan Province

农户稻作制度选择的演变关系到国家粮食供给安全和农业资源的优化利用。基于湖南省实地调查数据,从补贴政策视角出发,分析了国家农业"三项补贴"、农机购置补贴及湖南省双季稻补贴与种粮大户奖励对农户单、双季稻选择的影响效应。研究结果表明,上述各项补贴及奖励对农户稻作制度选择均未产生显著影响,这一结果暗示在农村耕地加速流转,新型农业经营主体逐渐取代传统经营模式的"新常态"下,现有的农业补贴制度需要进行相应的调整或改善,以达到促进粮食增产和农民增收的根本目的。因此,提出"第三方补贴"创新模式,以真正降低新型经营主体的生产成本,提高种粮收益和稳定双季稻面积。

The evolution of the rice planting pattern is related to national food security and the optimized utilization of agricultural resources. This paper is to explore the effects of grain subsidies on farmers＇ rice planting pattern from a policy perspective, including the effects of rice multiple crop index of double-cropped rice subsidy policy in Hunan, double-cropped rice planting large household reward policy in Hunan, national agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy and national ＂Three Subsidies＂ policy, by multiple regression model with 221 peasant households＇ survey data in Hunan province of 2014. The research shows that all subsidies have no significant effect, which indicates that, under the ＂new normal＂ in which the new agricultural management gradually replaces the traditional management, the previous agricultural subsidy system needs to be adjusted or improved accordingly, in order to promote grain yield and increase farmers＇ income. Therefore, this paper puts forward the ＂third-party subsidy＂ model, to reduce the production cost, increase planting earnings, and stabilize area of double rice under the ＂new normal＂.